Super bowl accessories! We love them all because the accessories help make every small (relative) moment feel bigger than life in the big game. And rather than making a Straight overview of the match of ChidaLphia Eagles-Kansas City Chiefs In the Super Bowl Lix, I wanted to find the key aspects that have a chance to swing the game, but through the objective of these delicious and tasty bets.
Here are some of my favorite Bettable Games (all via BETMGM) for Sunday’s match. And how I got to each bet.
(All data via Nextgenstats and Trumedia, unless otherwise indicated. All the relevant data of the Chiefs season do not include week 18.)
Saquon Barkley on 21.5 Rush attempts (-130)
Saquon Barkley under 23.5 meters the longest rush (+105)
I stayed away from Barkley’s total bets, because while he will get regular action (the Eagles easily led the NFL this season in early racing rate with a clip of 55.3%) throughout From the match, and while the chiefs can be dotted the field, they actually do a great job to fight and limit big games.
This season, including the playoffs, the chiefs have authorized the sixth lowest explosive race rate in the NFL and have the least missed plated among all defense.
(On a related note, the Eagles have the second plus missed plated this season. Approaching! Fundamentals! They count!))
Defending the offensive line of the Eagles and Barkley is like basketball caps defending the best scorers in the NBA: they will get theirs, but the objective of the defenders is to try to make it so difficult and ineffective that they can. This brings me a total of Barkley’s hasty attempts. Even without the juicy number in the world, Barkley will have a regular races diet in this game while Eagles try to unravel holes in the defense of chiefs and take KC in an exotic defensive call; 21.5 is a lot but Barkley will be the main engine of this game, just as it was all season.
The longest rush bet is a similar line of thought. While Barkley will tear two -digit courtyards, I think that the chefs will do the most to limit the damage each time it stands out. Remember how well they can attack! Chiefs also defend the main Eagles race concepts at a level higher than a good level. The Eagles shoot their offensive line editors as much as anyone, using shooters in the second highest NFL flashing this season and on average an explosive rush on more than 20% of these races. (The Eagles have 26 explosive races this season on races using shooters. Chiefs have 29 explosive tracks this season total.) Chiefs, however, have only granted two explosive races this season on concepts using shooters and less than 4 yards per race (3.8) on these races.
It is a classic force against strength in the racing game. And I do not think that the Eagles will avoid feeding Barkley, but the chiefs will do their best to limit the damage and that is what leaned to the volume of keys.
First Drive Result of Chiefs: Touchdown (+190)
The 1st quarter of chiefs -0.5 (+135)
Here are the results of the opening of the chiefs against the defenses coated by Vic Fangio since Patrick Mahomes became their quarter-Arrière:
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2023 week 9: 7 Plays, 75 yards, td
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2023 Wild Card: 9 pieces, 69 yards, td
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2021 week 13: 12 pieces, 72 yards, td
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2021 week 18: 17 pieces, 91 yards, td
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2020 week 7: 8 pieces, 68 yards, td
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2020 week 13: 5 pieces, 26 yards, clearancebox
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2019 week 7: 8 pieces, 75 yards, td
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2019 week 15: 4 plays, 79 yards, td
Seven affected on eight records is a fairly good rate! And Andy Reid has the boost effect of a week off to help him.
Fangio is a full -fledged exceptional coach And this defense of the Eagles is better than any previously on the list. But the combination of experience against this defensive scheme, a week of leave and, oh ya, mahomes, makes me love the most money you can get on the chiefs starting the hot game and trying to bring in Eagles in a negative game script (much easier to say than to do).
The shortest journey among this regrouping, the four -game disc of 2019 week 15, was crowned by a shooting game designed in Tyreek Hill next to a heavy protected game concept as soon as the chiefs have succeeded in the midfield. It brings me to my next accessory:
Marquise Brown on 18.5 yards The longest reception (-115)
While the chiefs have created more explosive games once the playoffs, it is always an offense that prefers to exhaust the defenses with short and effective gains on the ground and in the air. Eagles limit explosive games as well as anyone and are the second best tackle team behind the chiefs. I therefore do not think that a short crossing road will burst for a big gain, but this hit Hill 2019 and the incursions of Matthew Stafford on the ground in the division tour against Philly makes me think that Reid and the chiefs could have Something in keeping to create a breathing room against this stifling defense.
The beneficiary of Mahomes Deep Pass could be Xavier Worthy or even the Justin Watson insinable, so if you want to sprinkle something on their figures, I do not blame you. I think Brown will eventually get design because of his skills to follow deep bullets and his growing confidence of Mahomas in him.
Juju smith-shuster on 13.5 reception yards (-140)
Juju Smith-Shuster more than 1.5 receptions (-125)
Noah Gray on 1.5 receptions (+110)
Chiefs may not have this real receiver No. 1, but Mahomes has no qualms about spreading around football. Mahomes targets the slit and the extremes tight at a higher pace than usual when confronted with defenses enrossed by a Fangio. This corresponds to the reception group of the chiefs. Look at the target card of Mahomas against the defenses of Fangio and the red spots in the middle of the field against all these zone covers:
Bringing the Eagles to correspond to their basic defense by trotting tighter ends (and trying to bring the second Oren Burks to an island), or at least declare their intention of what they want to stop, could lead to Many shots for Gray and thus target opportunities. Some examination or below throw in the middle and these are all the gray needs. Ditto with Smith-Shuster. While the chiefs have spread around their clichés of slot machines, Smith-Shuster is there for his auxiliary blocking skills and as a large safety net for Mahomas. Against a defense that limits explosive games and obliges QB to take their “safe” options, I see Smith-Shuster having the chance to move the chains a few times, in particular with its more stationary routes to find weak points in the zones as opposed to something in motion.
Dallas GOEDERT on 51.5 reception yards (-110)
This line was put from 46.5 reception yards, so I hope you can get it before it slips even more. GOEDERT is a good player and also has the advantage of not having to go against Trent McDuffie in this game. (This is why it is difficult for me to choose if I like the Devonta Smith or AJ Brown accessories. Although it I like Brown as a touched marker at any time at +170.)
The chiefs were also low against the final target targets this season, ranking 28th in the success rate (allowing 58.3% of the objectives to succeed in gains) and 32nd in yards per final lens (at 8.7 yards!) . The Goenert reception line is 4.5 with a heavy vig at the end. So I go with yards, with Jalen Hurts maybe enjoying the roads of Goedert who work on chiefs Blitz a few times to hit a big game or two and the total.
Jalen hurts over 0.5 int (+135)
Speaking of injuries against the blitz, Steve Spagnuolo had two weeks to enter his laboratory and cook diabolical stuff by the way (if the chiefs can survive the assault of Saquon Barkley at the start of the stockings). Chefs can look into men’s blitzs or zone blitz each time they wish. And Blitzes area is the way I think Spagnuolo will try to hurt and make it make a mistake.
Chiefs recorded a pressure rate of 50.9% on zone Blitz this season (highest NFL rate) and allowed the second plus of yards by attempt (6.1 yards / attempt). Houts was a lot improved against the blitz this season, but still has vulnerability against zone blitz. He took a bag on more than 20% of his drops against zone blitzes this season. It is a comic rate that made me double the data.
Hurts ranked 22nd in clear yards by attempt against the zone blitz and finished 20th at the explosive success rate. He prefers either to rush (where he also has the highest rate), or attack below (19th in air sites by attempt).
If I noticed it, then Spagnuolo and the defensive staff of the chefs certainly also did it. Look for a zone blitz (or a simulated zone blitz that rushes only four but is injured to launch a hot route) with the chiefs trying to bait a launch in a waiting defender.
With the possibility that there are a small amount of records in this game, a singular turnover can be enormous. Look for the chefs to try to create this great moment with a well -timed blitz.
Less than 49.5
Ok, not exactly an accessory. But I like the Sub in this game because of the ability of the two defenses to limit explosive games and thus create the need for more methodical readers.
These two offenses are ranked first and second in the amount of more than 10 players of the game this season. I think this game could end feeling Fast because of this combination of efficiency and defensive sound. This will lead to long discs (which are not always found in the touchdown) and fewer discs overall.
