The NBA season tournament continues today with the No. 1 seeds taking on the No. 4 seeds. Action tips for the Knicks-Bucks game in Milwaukee at 7:30 p.m. ET. In game two of tonight’s doubleheader, we’ll see a Suns-Lakers battle in Los Angeles. This should be another fun night of NBA basketball with the two-game total set at 230. Let’s get to the best Outsider fantasy NBA picks for today, starting with Brook Lopez. Looking for more Outsider fantasy advice? Check out our NBA Underdog Optimizer and the rest of our NBA Articles.
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NBA Underdog Player Predictions | December 5
Brook Lopez H/L 11.5 points
The top-seeded Bucks are 5-point home favorites against the Knicks and are 9-1 at home this season. This is one place behind New York but a favorable matchup for the centers. The Knicks allow the third-most points per game at 36.4 per game and rank 28th in the NBA in 15 hours allowed to centers. Brook Lopez is averaging 13.5 points per game and 14.7 at home. Lopez is shooting 41.8% from three at home, or 2.4 at 15 per game. With Mitchell Robinson By coming back to help the defense and block shots, Lopez should have plenty of open looks to convert tonight.
Best Fantasy NBA Underdog Game: Brook Lopez higher than 11.5 points
Jalen Brunson H/L 5.5 assists
Jalen Brunson is averaging 5.5 assists per game on the season and 11.7 potential assists per game over his last 10 games. We can expect the Knicks starters to play a few more minutes than usual in this win-or-go-home scenario. Brunson is averaging 35.5 minutes per game and I expect to see 38-40 minutes for him tonight. All books are rated between -135 and -140 on this accessory. This is a fast pace for the Knicks as Milwaukee runs 102 possessions per game.
Best Fantasy NBA Underdog Game: Jalen Brunson above 5.5 assists
Damien Lillard H/L 25.5 points
The Knicks rank third in scoring defense, but are only 25th in points allowed to guards. This puts Damien Lillard in a good position to score this evening even in a place where the pace is slow. Lillard averages 25.5 points per game and 26 at home on 9.3 FTA. He scored 30 points on just 15 FGAs and made 12 of 12 from the free throw line in the Bucks’ 5-point win over New York on November 3. All books favor the upper hand on this accessory while the odds vary from -105 to -139.
The Knicks allow 8:10 to 15:00 to opposing guards, which ranks them 25th in the NBA. Lillard attempts 8.4 threes per game and should be able to convert three or four tonight, putting him in a good position to reach 26 points.
Best Fantasy NBA Underdog Game: Damian Lillard above 25.5 points
NBA Tools and Tips from OddsShopper
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